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Old 03-12-2014, 08:05 PM   #1
2ndWind
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Politics, etc.
So what do you think is going on with Putin? Are we in for Cold War II?
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Old 03-12-2014, 08:29 PM   #2
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Re: Politics, etc.
Not even close.

Russia can field only about 1.5M soldiers. Their replacement rate is so low that this number has to go down, despite mandatory conscription. Conscription has become so unpopular that the period of servitude has been dropped from 2 years to one year. It takes a year to train a soldier. Anyone that can, buys their way out of conscription.

The Crimean peninsula is one thing. Putin is to be congratulated for a coup that did not require a shot. However, if he wants to push into the Ukrainian mainland, he may find a much different reception. If he wants to 'protect the Russian speakers in the Baltic states (NATO members) ', he will get a much different reception.

He simply doesn't have the military to reignite the Cold War. He has just enough to start a localized hot war. It would be dumb, but he could do it, despite all the opinions that it wouldn't happen. History is full of wars that nobody thought would happen.
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Old 03-12-2014, 08:32 PM   #3
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Re: Politics, etc.
My goodness, what is this, a new thread? It has been many a 'No Matches Found" since DOL has seen a new thread. 2nd -- you, like Putin, are to be congratulated.
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Old 03-13-2014, 06:02 PM   #4
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Re: Politics, etc.
RT, maybe you could get a new job as a political analyst. You seem to know a lot more than many of the writers out there.

Putin seems to be very mistrustful of everyone around him. You would think it would work against him.
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/comme...#axzz2vsK67TOY
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Old 03-13-2014, 06:43 PM   #5
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Re: Politics, etc.
Hi 2nd -- Interesting article.
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Old 03-14-2014, 01:56 AM   #6
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Re: Politics, etc.
I was just saying: the Malaysian jet mystery has sure taken media attention off Russia's latest gambit.

I read too many Tom Clancy novels.

It is an interesting point Putin makes about the legitimacy of the current Ukrainian govt. If the coup had been a reversal of positions, pro-western dumped in favor of pro-Russian, what position do you think NATO, EU, and the US would assume?

Putin is worrisome. He reminds me of Andropov. Heard him referred to as delusional the other day.

On a local level, our county board of supervisors has decided to include an item on our June ballot asking voters whether or not to join the State of Jefferson movement, to secede from Calif and form a new state together with part of southern Oregon. Talk about delusional. It's the current pet project of the Tea Partiers in the region, and has already been supported by at least three other counties.
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Old 03-17-2014, 06:44 PM   #7
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Glad to hear that Anita Hill hasn't given up the fight. (Now if only Clarence Thomas would resign while Obama is still in office, instead of Ruth Bader Ginsburg.)
http://www.latimes.com/local/la-me-a...#axzz2wGLSmGYf
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Old 03-17-2014, 07:16 PM   #8
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Re: Politics, etc.
Great article!

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Old 03-19-2014, 08:05 PM   #9
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Re: Politics, etc.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ghead1 View Post
Putin is worrisome.
He is. Do the economic sanctions imposed on him even have any effect?
"Putin's parents survived the World War II siege of Leningrad, when some Russians ate grass to fend off starvation — an episode Putin once referred to as evidence of his nation's resilience under pressure."
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/comme...#ixzz2wSMwirHJ
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Old 03-21-2014, 05:20 AM   #10
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Re: Politics, etc.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2ndWind View Post
He is. Do the economic sanctions imposed on him even have any effect?
Economic sanctions always have an effect, but they aren't likely to effect Putin personally. Sanctions always hurt the same people in any economy -- those least likely to have any money or power. Its like declaring war on women, children, elderly and infirmed.
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